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FIFA Player Value Prediction

Comparing four ML approaches for predicting player market value from skill attributes.

A comparison study: how well can a player’s market value be predicted from their recorded skill attributes, and does model complexity actually buy accuracy on a problem like this one?

Four approaches were evaluated against the same dataset: linear regression as a baseline, random forest, a multilayer perceptron, and a CNN. The framing question is whether the added capacity of the neural approaches pays off on structured tabular attributes, or whether a well-specified tree ensemble is the more honest answer for this shape of data.

This page is a summary of the write-up rather than a runnable notebook due to university’s academic-honesty policy. I’m glad to walk through the implementation in an interview or grant repo access on request.

Player value is the thing being predicted from recorded skill attributes. Photo via Boston Herald.